It’s been a good week around here. We’ve been pretty busy with client and prospect meetings, but things are starting to calm down and get back to normal. I’ve received many interesting emails and articles over the past week, and I feel like some of them are definitively worth sharing with you.
The first article I came across that I thought was pretty interesting was from a listener telling me about a Charity Fraud Announcement from the Federal Trade Commission. I find this email especially interesting because I’ve been doing financial planning for some years now so, if you do the math, you will realize that this is the second big recession I’ve been through, the first being from 2000 – 2003. What I’ve noticed is that as the economy suffers, individuals are forced to become creative. This creativity often leads to recovery in the economy. Unfortunately, however, good people aren’t the only ones who become creative. It seems like every time there is a hick-up in the economy, a whirl-wind of get-rich-quick schemes and scams pop up. Some are absolutely fraudulent, and some are really just complex multi-level marketing schemes (such as the ones springing up all over my neighborhood). Now I’m not saying that all of these are bad, but it is unique how they become ever more prevalent during down periods in the economy.
The two articles, Avoid Charity Fraud and Supporting the Troops: When Charities solicit Donations on Behalf of Vets and Military Families, highlight some of these ways to avoid becoming a victim of charity fraud:
- Ask for the charity’s name, address, phone number, and written information about its programs.
- Ask whether the person contacting you is a volunteer or a professional fundraiser and how much of your contribution will actually go to the cause you are supporting.
- Check the history of the organization with the office that regulates charities in your state.
- Avoid high pressure pitches. It’s okay to hang up.
- Be weary of a ‘thank you’ for a pledge you don’t remember making.
- Avoid requests for cash.
- Avoid charities that offer to send a courier or overnight delivery service to collect your money.
- Avoid charities that guarantee sweepstakes winnings in exchange for a contribution. According to U.S. law, you never have to give a donation to be eligible to win a sweepstakes.
- Avoid charities that appear to spring up overnight.
- Donate to charities that have a solid track record and history.
- Check out the organization before donating any money. Some phony charities use names, seals, and logos that look or sound like real ones. When in doubt, contact the legitimate charity to find out for sure.
- Ask for a receipt that shows the amount of your contribution and that it is tax deductible.
The second article I came across was from the New York Times and it was titled, Credit Card Industry Aims to Profit From Sterling Payers. What this article is basically saying to me (a ‘deadbeat’ who uses a cash-back card, doesn’t carry a balance, and grins from ear to ear every time I receive my cash-back check) is that my free-ride may be coming to an end. The article explains that banks are looking to revive annual fees, curtail cash back and other rewards, and also begin charging interest immediately on a purchase instead of allowing a grace period of a few weeks. Edward Yingling of the American Bankers Association was quoted as saying “Those that manage their credit well will in some degree subsidize those that have credit problems”.
I don’t know if I agree with this, however. I have to believe that if my credit card company started charging me interest on my purchases immediately, and I didn’t receive any rewards for using it, then I would probably just use cash every chance I could, and when I needed the convenience of a card, I would use my bank debit card. It goes on in the article to explain that these banks and credit card companies aren’t charities. They, too, are businesses operating for profit and have shareholders to answer to. The article also shares some interesting statistics. While banks are not required to reveal how much they make from penalty interest rates and fees, Robert Hammer, an industry consultant, noted that the amount of money generated by penalty fees like late charges and exceeding credit limits had increased by about $1 billion annually in recent years and should top $20 billion this year. However, the government stress tests did show that the nation’s top 19 biggest banks will take on $82 billion in credit card losses in the next two years. This could be even worse, though, considering the method for valuing assets for the stress tests.
The final article I wanted to share that was of interest (and when I say interest I also mean that it scares me to death) was an article concerning the finances of Social Security and Medicare. A new study found that Medicare is currently paying out more than it receives, and Social Security will start paying out more in benefits than it collects in taxes in 2016, and the giant trust fund will completely run out by 2037. Medicare is currently slated to be insolvent by 2017. Obviously the reason for the dates being sooner than originally anticipated is the current state of the economy. According to the article, since December of 2007, 5.7 million jobs have been lost and the unemployment rate hit a 25 year high in April of 8.9%. Fewer people working plus more people retiring (i.e. 78 million baby boomers) means less money flowing into the system. So, the way I see it, there is only one real option so solve this problem: whether you are Republican or Democrat, taxes are going up! In the show, I use a piece of research we have made available on the premium member side that details government spending, tax collections, and the federal deficit over the last forty years.
At the very end of the show, I ask for your opinions on an in depth FairTax show as well as general interest in the P90X workout routine. I do this podcast for you, my loyal listeners, so I am always interested to hear your thoughts!
Hi Brian,
1) I love your poloitically independent research on finiacial issues, so that’s a yes for the fair tax podcast. I love the book but I don’t have time to do the in depth research you do and you’re good a making sense of it all.
2) Really liked the analysis on government spending vs. gdp growth. In this episode, you mentioned that the Obama budget is $600 billion more than Bush’s last budget, a 20% increase. I don’t know the true number but I know that Bush did not budget for the war and Obama did. I believe that war spending was more than $600 billion. I would be very interested in an indepth budget analysis.
Thanks for the show, I am currently in the military providing free-only financial advice but hope to become a fee-only advisor soon.
Regards,
Ian
Hi Brian,
I am a big fan of the show. I just listened to this podcast and wanted to make a couple comments. You asked why does governement always have to grow, even in tight times? I think it goes back to Keynesian economics. I am not sure governemt should cut back in the tough times, in fact I am ok with government growth during those tough times to prevent depression. However, that is why I think it is so important to be more fiscally responsible in the good times to lower the nation’s debt levels that it allows us to be able to kick in stimulus money or hire more government workers without building this impossible debt burden that is impossible to remove. Unfortunately, that means our representatives and president would have to make those tough choices that are politically unpopular and we end up with the huge debt we have today.
As to the fair tax, I only ask that you be FAIR in your research. It seems that the pro-fair tax people are the most vocal, so I hope you will pay attention to whether it is progressive or regressive and how taxing consumption in a nation that consumption makes up 70% of our GDP will affect our economy. And of course, how can you advertise people pay less taxes and expect the same level of government spending? Just approach it skeptically. I love new ideas and different approaches to problems, as long as the data is honest. I am not sure the fair tax people are being honest in their data. Keep up the good work!